The latest polls before the Israeli elections leave Netanyahu on the brink of a parliamentary majority

Oct. 29 (EUROPA PRESS) –

The final polls on Israeli television before the legislative elections on November 1 leave the bloc led by former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on the verge of a majority, with 60 of the 120 seats that make up the Knesset, and in what would mean its triumphant return to the political front line.

The surveys of Channel 12, Channel 13 and the Kan network agree that the great alliance led by the Likud party and in which the far-right and ultra-nationalist parties enjoy a significant presence, is only one seat away from acquiring the necessary majority. to form a government against the 56 seats that the current coalition of Prime Minister Yair Lapid would achieve. The remaining four seats would go to the joint majority Arab and non-aligned Hadash/Ta’al list of Ayman Odeh and Ahmad Tibi.

Netanyahu’s Likud would win the most seats, between 30 and 31, followed by Lapid’s Yesh Atid. Standing out above all, however, is the far-right Religious Zionism alliance, led by Bezalel Smotrich, in which Itamar Ben Gvir’s Jewish Power participates, and the anti-LGBT Noam formation, related to the former prime minister’s bloc, and which it would become the third largest party in the Knesset, with some 14 or 15 seats.

In fourth place (10-11 seats) would be the National Unity alliance made up of Blue and White, of Defense Minister Benny Gantz, who has joined forces with Nueva Esperanza, of Justice Minister Gideon Saar, and Hamajane Hamamlajti, of former Chief of the General Staff Gadi Eisenkot.

Faced with the possibility that Lapid’s bloc will not win the seats necessary to obtain a majority, Gantz has positioned himself as a possible new prime minister and has advocated creating a coalition by leaving the ultra-Orthodox parties off Netanyahu’s radar.

However, sources close to Yesh Atid have assured that the formation “will never sit in a government led by Gantz” and have indicated that it is “fantasies”. “It is only a matter of time before Gantz accepts the fact that Lapid is the leader of the bloc and that he will be the one to form the government,” he clarified before insisting that “if he wants to bring in the ultra-Orthodox, he will have to do it to the bloc in your whole”.

The ultra-Orthodox Shas and United Torah parties, also aligned with Netanyahu, would obtain between 8 and 7 seats, for about 5 or 6 of the secular and right-wing Yisrael Beytenu. The center-left Labor Party moves between 5 and 6 seats; the leftist Meretz with 4-5 and finally Raam, the United Arab List, would get four seats, according to polls collected by ‘Times of Israel’.

If Labor or Meretz win less than 3.25 percent of the support needed to enter Parliament, Netanyahu’s bloc would almost certainly have a parliamentary majority.