MADRID 15 Nov. () –
Irish Fine Gael, the party to which Prime Minister Simon Harris belongs, is ‘a priori’ ahead for the general elections on November 29, in which the other coalition partner, Fianna Fáil, is tied for second place. and Sinn Féin, which won the 2020 elections.
Fine Gael appears with a voting intention of 25 percent in the first poll published since the formal call of the elections, prepared by the firm Ipsos for the ‘Irish Times’ newspaper. His most direct rivals are six points away in this survey.
In any case, the complex Irish electoral system, based on a distribution of seats by constituencies and through a system of preferences, complicates a literal translation of these percentages. Independent candidates, who continue to gain support and now reach 20 percent of voting intentions, may also be key.
The parties still have room to convince the 16 percent of citizens who declare themselves undecided, according to the survey, which has a margin of error of 2.8 points.
Harris remains the most popular leader and achieves approval with 50 percent, despite dropping five points compared to the last study. He is followed by the current Foreign Minister and Fianna Fáil leader, Micheál Martin, with 45 per cent, and the head of Sinn Féin, Mary Lou McDonald, with 31 per cent.
Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil have shared a coalition since the 2020 elections and have even taken turns in the position of prime minister. With Sinn Féin out of possible government equations, forecasts anticipate a new grand coalition between two parties that lean towards the centre-right.
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