September 5 () –
The Ibex 35 has broken a streak of three consecutive days of declines this Thursday by registering a rise of 0.53%, reaching 11,273.5 points, thanks to the boost of almost all its stocks – only four have closed with losses – in a day marked again by macroeconomic references from the United States regarding employment.
The main indicator of the Spanish market, which started the session with doubts and close to 11,100 points, has finally opted for increases throughout the day and has flirted with the 11,300 point mark, although it has ultimately failed to consolidate that level.
On Thursday’s macroeconomic agenda, it was learned that German factory orders rose by almost 3% on a monthly basis in July when a decline was expected, while the Munich Institute for Economic Research (Ifo) has revised downwards its growth forecasts for Germany for 2024 and 2025, so it now predicts that GDP will stagnate this year, compared to the previous 0.4% rise, and that next year it will increase by 0.9%, below the previous 1.5%.
At the regional level in Europe, it was reported that retail sales in the Eurozone decreased by 0.1% year-on-year in July and increased by 0.1% compared to the previous month.
At the Spanish level, he highlighted that consumer confidence rose one point in July compared to the previous month, reaching 89.4 points, its highest level since July 2023 (94.4 points), due to the better assessment of consumers regarding the current economic situation, as their expectations fell.
On the debt markets, the Treasury has awarded a total of 6,562.69 million euros in medium and long-term debt this Thursday and has done so at lower rates than in previous issues, according to data published by the Bank of Spain.
Across the Atlantic, the US private sector added 99,000 jobs in August, down from 111,000 in July, marking five consecutive months of slowdown, according to a report by consultancy firm ADP. The JOLTS employment survey for July was also released yesterday, pointing to a cooling in the US labour market.
However, despite these labor market signals, it was also learned today that the US PMI economic activity indicator accelerated in August to 55.7 points from the 55 points recorded in July, which translates into the sharpest increase since March 2022 and which allows for 19 consecutive positive months, according to S&P Global.
Investors are already looking ahead to the official US employment report for August, which will be released tomorrow and may affect the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy direction.
eToro experts have noted that while the odds currently favor a 25 basis point cut at the Fed’s September meeting, a deeply disappointing jobs report on Friday could shift those odds in favor of a 50 basis point cut.
On the business front, after the market closed yesterday it was announced that the board of directors of Sacyr has approved the distribution of a new flexible dividend of 0.079 euros in cash, which will be paid on 26 September, or one new share for every 40 old ones, if the shareholders so choose.
For its part, Turner, ACS’s subsidiary in the United States, has already begun work to renovate Terminal 3 West at San Francisco International Airport in the United States, for an amount of 2.6 billion dollars (2.35 billion euros).
In this context, Acciona Energía was the most bullish stock of the day (+4.43%), followed by Solaria (+3.99%), Acciona (+2.16%), Merlín (+2.14%), Mapfre (+2.06%), Enagás (+1.78%) and CaixaBank (+1.63%).
On the other hand, only four stocks have closed in the red: Grifols (-2.52%), Inditex (-1.96%), Logista (-0.22%) and Indra (-0.06%).
It is worth noting that Grifols’ class ‘B’ shares, which are listed on the continuous market, closed with a fall of 7.25% after the firm Brookfield Capital Partners made its takeover bid (OPA) for Grifols conditional on paying less for this type of shares of the blood derivatives company.
Contrary to Madrid, most other European markets have opted for declines: Frankfurt has lost 0.08%, London 0.34% and Paris 0.92%, while Milan has advanced only slightly (+0.01%).
As for raw materials, the price of a barrel of Brent crude oil was at $72.9 at the closing time in Europe, up 0.28%, while the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil was at $69.37, up 0.25%.
The interest rate on the 10-year Spanish bond closed at 3.016% after subtracting two basis points. The risk premium on German debt thus stood at 81.2 points.
On the currency markets, the euro gained another 0.14% against the dollar, reaching an exchange rate of 1.1098 dollars per euro.
The troy ounce of gold rose 0.45% at the close in the Old Continent and recovered the $2,500 mark, while Bitcoin fell 3.5% and balanced around $56,000. The cryptocurrency has accumulated a fall of 5% at the start of September.
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