economy and politics

The CIS places the PSOE as the winner of the elections with five points ahead of the PP

The CIS places the PSOE as the winner of the elections with five points ahead of the PP

CIS May 2024

CIS vote estimate (in % of the total valid vote)



The PSOE would now win a new general election with 35.5% of the votes and five points ahead of the PP, according to the May barometer of the Center for Sociological Research (CIS). The estimate represents a reversal compared to that of April, which kept the PP in the lead with a slight advantage, and follows the path of the ‘flash’ delivery made during Pedro Sánchez’s reflection period after which he decided to continue leading the Government .

The May barometer indicates that the effect of this decision by the President of the Government has boosted the PSOE and leaves the PP with 30.5% of the votes. Behind, Vox remains ahead of Sumar although the distance between the two is narrowing.

The CIS of May 2024 compared to 23J

CIS vote estimate (in % of the total valid vote)



The CIS estimate places the PSOE with 35.5% of the votes, an increase of three points in one month, well above the results obtained by 23J, which was 31.7% of the votes. It is the best estimate data for the PSOE in the CIS this term, excluding the ‘flash’ delivery of last April 29.

The PP would obtain 30.4% of the votes, a drop of three points compared to the barometer for the month of April and below the results of the general elections, when the party won with 33.1% of the votes.

Behind PSOE and PP, the distance between Vox and Sumar is narrowing. Santiago Abascal’s party would take 10.2% of the votes, eight tenths less than a month ago; Add 8% compared to 7.2% in April. Podemos, for its part, would have 2.2% of the votes, four tenths more than a month ago.


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