Majority of Republicans confident in 2024 vote count after election, new poll finds Donald Trump’s victorymarking a significant shift from GOP voters’ skepticism about the US election after the president-elect spent four years lying about his loss to President Joe Biden.
About 6 in 10 Republicans said they were “very” or “fairly” confident that votes from last year’s presidential election were counted correctly across the country, according to the Associated Press Center for Public Affairs Research poll. NORC.
This represents a significant increase from the roughly 2 in 10 Republicans who were confident in an AP-NORC poll in October. And about two-thirds of Republicans in the December poll said they were confident in their state’s vote count, up from 40% before the election.
This helped increase the share of Americans who say they are “very” or “fairly” confident in the accuracy of the election to about 6 in 10. This is higher than in October, when about half of Americans said they were very confident. confident that the votes would be counted accurately.
The atmosphere is substantially different than four years ago, when Trump supporters, fueled by his false claims of a stolen election, attacked police and forced their way into the US Capitol on January 6, 2021. , to disrupt the certification of Biden’s victory. Weeks later, an AP-NORC poll found that about two-thirds of Republicans said Biden was not legitimately elected president.
That belief persisted throughout Biden’s presidency and into last year’s election, as Trump continued to sow doubt about the accuracy of the U.S. election. He even did it on election day, hours before it was clear he would win.
But since Trump’s victory in November, Republicans’ suspicions about election security at all levels, including trust in their own local election officials, have diminished substantially.
There was no sign of trouble before the election despite Trump’s attempts to lay the groundwork for challenging the accuracy of the count if he lost the vote. There were also no real questions about the integrity of the 2020 count, which was confirmed by a wide range of state audits, recounts and reviews, some of which were led by Republicans, including Trump’s own Justice Department.
Threats toward local election officials spiked after 2020, leading a wave of veteran administrators to leave their positions. In a potential sign that those hostilities could ease, the survey found that about 7 in 10 Americans are “very” or “fairly” confident that votes in the 2024 presidential election were accurately counted by their local election officials. , an increase from 60% in October.
This movement was driven almost entirely by Republicans: About 7 in 10 had a lot of confidence in local officials’ recounts in December, compared to about half in October.
One group’s confidence in the integrity of the election declined: Democrats. Their confidence in the national vote count fell from about 7 in 10 to about 6 in 10, although their certainty in the accuracy of state vote counts remained stable.
However, the decline in Democratic confidence is nowhere near the scale of skepticism among Republicans after Trump’s loss in 2020. Democratic candidate Vice President Kamala Harris acknowledged her loss to Trump the day after the election and There has been no organized Democratic effort to prevent the transition of the presidency to Trump, as there was among some conservatives in 2020 to try to block Biden from assuming the presidency.
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