Is the US economy really heading towards a recession?

1- The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the United States it had a rapid recovery from the pandemic, but at the beginning of 2022 it began to lose strength in the midst of a strong inflationary rebound.

2- The unemployment increased with the shutdown of the economy during the pandemic; however, after the reopening, the strength of the labor market has remained constant.

3- After spending several years at low levels, the inflation It was the bad surprise in 2022, as it managed to reach levels not seen in more than 40 years.

4- The acceleration of inflation caused the Fed to forget to keep its minimum interest rate and apply in 2022 a series of accelerated increases that raised fears of an economic recession in the United States. The interest rate is at its highest levels since 2007.

5- The main stock market in the United States, the S&P500, Nor has it been affected by recession warnings, as it is at its highest level in at least the last three quarters.