economy and politics

Governance problems: the main risk for the Mexican economy

Governance problems: the main risk for the Mexican economy

Within governance issues, insecurity problems top the list of factors that can play against the economy, followed by political uncertainty, the central bank detailed in a statement.

In second place, although far from 62% of the governance issues, and with 12% of the responses are internal economic conditions.

In third place are internal conditions and completing the list of possible obstacles to growth are monetary policy (7%), inflation (6%) and public policies (3%).

Economic impact

On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 means that the aforementioned factors will not limit economic activity and 7 that they will be very limiting, experts in the sector rated governance issues with 6.1, monetary policy with 5.1, inflation with 4.9; public finances and internal economic conditions with 4.6 and external conditions 4.2.

Indicators

Private sector experts lowered their estimates for inflation at the end of 2023, from 5.05% in April to 5.02% in May. Despite an improvement for the national consumer price index, they expect the core index to end the year at 5.4%, when the previous month they anticipated 5.36%.

As far as economic growth is concerned, they now expect gross domestic product to grow 2% this year, after 1.6% the previous month.

Banxico’s reference rate will end the year at 11%, they expect 25 base points less than the previous estimate.



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