The british intelligence services have questioned the continuity of the general Valery Gerasimovboss of General Staff of the Russian Army. The person in charge of leading and organizing the offensive on Ukraine to succeed in invading it, he would have been dismissed after his “failure” winter, according to estimates from London.
Gerasimov took responsibility for January of this yearwith the task of carrying out “an effort for throwing one winter general offensiveto extend Russian control over the entire region of the Donbas“. However, “eighty days later”, exposes the British Ministry of Defense on its Twitter account, “it is becoming increasingly clear that this project has failed“.
The United Kingdom considers that the offensive launched from Moscow “has only achieved marginal gains at the expense of tens of thousands casualties“. He also criticizes the mobilization of his troops “wasting heavily” the temporal advantage they had. In this sense, the ministry is harsh in its statements to the question Russia’s patience to keep Gerasimov at the head of his army despite his tactical “failure”.
Latest Defense Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine – 01 April 2023.
Find out more about Defense Intelligence’s use of language: https://t.co/un6OZVrOda
?? #StandWithUkraine ?? pic.twitter.com/pFl8kpIqs6
— Ministry of Defense ?? (@DefenceHQ) April 1, 2023
On January 11, 2023, General Valery Gerasimov personally assumed command of the ‘special military operation’ in Ukraine at the head of the General Staff. His tactic has been based on a “winter offensive” that sought to extend Russian control over the entire Donbas region.
The intention of Vladimir Putin was to take over the Ukrainian east completely, to March. This pretentious goal was considered by Ukrainian intelligence as a form of take credit for their successes and cast their delegates to the lions when failures came. It was at that time that Gerasimov replaced his previous counterpart, Sergei Surovikin known as ‘the butcher of Syria’. One of Surovikin’s last recommendations was to withdraw from the Kherson region, where his troops received the largest counteroffensive in the conflict.
However, officially, the reason for his dismissal was not such a contribution but was the result of “the expansion of the magnitude of the objectives to be met and the need for the organization of closer cooperation between the different troops of the Russian Army”.
To this day, the advantages obtained in the Donbas area are minimumwhile the casualties in their ranks they are high.
Increased ammo on failure
Before the difficulties recognized by the Russian troops to completely take the city of BakhmutGiven the high human cost and recent criticism of ammunition shortages, the military command has publicly promised more supplies ahead.
“The scope of supply of the most demanded ammunition. The necessary measures are being taken to increase it,” said the Minister of DefenseThe general Sergei Shoigu, at a meeting with the command of the grouping of troops fighting in Ukraine. In addition, he has also assured to strive to improve the “logistics efficiency to provide the forces with everything they need.” Shoigu assured that the production of conventional and high-precision weapons by the Russian defense industry “has multiplied“.
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This information provided by Russia is questioned by the West, who has reiterated on several occasions since the start of the conflict that Russia is suffering from a shortage of ammunition and missiles. Something that is offset by the amount of nuclear material, compared to USA.
Yevgeny Prigozhinhead of the Wagner Group, has accused repeatedly commanded by the Ministry of Defense of not supplying enough ammunition his mercenaries in Donbas, where Bakhmut is the epicenter of all the fighting in this direction.
Ukrainian counteroffensive
Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksii Reznikovtold the Estonian media that “the counteroffensive will be in April-May”, by taking into account the complications that would result from “soil moisture”. Reznikov is sure that “they will continue to liberate the occupied territories” as they already did with “kyiv, Chernigov, Sumy, Kharkov and Kherson“. For this they need, estimates the minister, “more European ammunition”.
In an hour-long conversation with @EmmanuelMacron, the ??-?? defense interaction was effectively discussed. I briefed in detail on the situation at the front. We dwelled on further steps to implement #PeaceFormulacoordinated actions for the upcoming international events.
— Volodimir Zelensky (@ZelenskyyUa) April 1, 2023
The Ukrainian strategy focuses on taking advantage of the russian wear to attack on the front, specifically in the areas of Bakhmut and other hot spots in Donbas. And for this offensive operation reinforcing with Western tanks, ammunition and air defense systems, MiG-29 jets and armored vehicles.
The same day that the British intelligence services question the continuity of General Valeri Gerasimov, Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Army, the Polish Prime Minister, Mateusz Morawieckiannounced the purchase by kyiv of one hundred Rosomak armored personnel carriers Polish-made, with funds from the European Union and USA.
Rosomak is a licensed copy of armored car Finnish troop carrier Motherland AMV 8×8. The main armament of the armored personnel carrier is a 30mm Mk44 gun with stabilization system and a UKM-2000C 7.62mm machine gun. The ammunition it is contained in two compartments for 30 mm cartridges and 700 cartridges of 7.62 mm caliber.
