A good part of winning an election is not making mistakes during the electoral campaign. And that is the feeling that Alberto Núñez Feijóo has of the 23J contest in which, despite using the same strategy of reviving ETA and supporting it on misrepresentations of economic data and even the conspiracy of voting by mail, he does not see that nothing is taking its toll. That, added to the good result of the only ‘face to face’ that he accepted with Pedro Sánchez, allows him to see himself as the winner without any doubt and even as president of a government alone.
The PP certifies its alliance with Vox in two communities while Feijóo tries to dissociate himself from Abascal before 23J
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The PP candidate has already designed the strategy for the following day, which involves asking the Socialists to abstain, whom he will use as an argument if he finally ends up agreeing with Vox, which he recognizes would have weight in day-to-day legislative activity since who would offer a programmatic pact in which he could leave his mark.
Feijóo plays to insinuate in public that he can reach an absolute majority, like the Andalusian president, but he admits that it is very difficult. “It’s not impossible,” he urged his supporters at a rally in Logroño. But 176 is not the figure that Feijóo believes he will get at the polls. The conservative candidate, who appeals to the useful vote around his ballot to govern “without detours, without intermediaries and without blackmail”, acknowledges that he will need to facilitate the investiture and, later, take out each law on a day-to-day basis .
And that is where the PP candidate admits that Vox will have something to say. The formula that Feijóo seeks is to govern alone thanks to abstentions in his investiture. The first call will be to the PSOE, who is confident that the leader will change or that the pressure of the barons will force, as in 2016, the parliamentary group to send him to Moncloa, as he explained in an informal conversation with journalists.
But that’s a hypothetical scenario. The ‘plan B’ is Vox and even Feijóo already has the move in mind: having refused the PSOE to give him the investiture, he will argue that they have forced him to look to his right.
The mirror of that strategy is that of the Region of Murcia. The idea of the PP is to offer the formation of Santiago Abascal a programmatic agreement and, therefore, for the extreme right to be key in the approval of the laws throughout the legislature. It will be necessary to go through the Vox window to approve a law, Feijóo said.
“I want to win so that there is no electoral repetition,” Feijóo later said at a rally in Pamplona. The PP seeks, on the one hand, to repeat the feat of Moreno Bonilla but leaves very present what has happened to Fernando López Miras, who has not managed to revalidate the mandate due to the ‘no’ of the extreme right, despite the fact that he lacks only two deputies
The PP maintains its pulse in Murcia while waiting for July 23 to pass, but it does not exactly fear an electoral repetition there because they trust that they would raise what is necessary to achieve an absolute majority. And they believe that it will be what the polls will say in the general elections. What the conservative leader admits is that this scenario is not the one that occurred in Extremadura, where he ended up giving in and involving the extreme right in the Government of María Guardiola.
In any case, the atmosphere that is breathed in the acts of the PP is one of victory. To begin with, because in most of them they are celebrating with the interventions of the recently elected mayors, as happened in Logroño this Saturday, or regional presidents, as in La Rioja or Cantabria. And that phenomenon is also a catalyst for the campaign. Feijóo has come to mention the number 168 and considers that, with that result, parties like the PNV, the Canary Islands Coalition or Teruel exist to make him president. That is your ideal scenario.
Feijóo is convinced that the ‘Andalusia effect’ exists. The PP’s strategy now involves focusing on the 18 provinces in which the ‘remnants’ left by the electoral system with the D’Hont law end up on the PP ballot. At stake there are twenty seats. Although PP sources admit that they will not get all of them, they do consider that they will be enough to give the final push that will bring them closer to a government on their own, but they face Abascal who has made it clear that he wants to enter the Council of Ministers.