Euro and sterling tumble on weak trade data and recession fears

The euro and sterling tumbled to new 20- and 37-year lows on Friday against a rising dollar, after data showed the slowdown in business activity in the euro zone and Britain deepened this month and economies will probably go into recession.

In another development that weighed on the pound, Britain’s new finance minister, Kwasi Kwarteng, announced tax cuts and measures to support households and businesses, and the UK debt office unveiled plans for an additional 72,000 issuance. million pounds ($79.74 billion) during this fiscal year.

Sterling posted its biggest weekly decline against the US dollar in two years after hitting a new 37-year low of $1.0840. The pound was the worst performing currency against the dollar on the day, down 3.4% at $1.0874, and also suffered its biggest daily percentage loss in two years.

“The market is giving very strong signals that it is no longer willing to finance the UK’s external deficit position at the current real yields and exchange rate settings,” wrote George Saravelos, global head of forex research at Deutsche Bank.

Earlier in the session, UK PMI figures showed the slowdown in the UK economy worsened this month as businesses struggled with rising costs and faltering demand.

In line with the pound, the euro fell 1.5% to $0.9689, after hitting its lowest level since October 2002 of $0.9669.

The drop was triggered in part by data indicating that S&P Global’s Eurozone Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), seen as a good indicator of overall economic health, fell further in September.

And the recession in German business activity deepened as higher energy costs hit Europe’s largest economy and companies saw a drop in new business.

Europe’s shared currency had its worst weekly performance drop since March 2020.

The yen traded down 0.6% at 143.30 per dollar, but posted its first weekly gain of 0.3% in more than a month after Japanese authorities intervened in markets on Thursday to back the currency for the first time since 1998.

The dollar index added to 113.23 points, its highest level since May 2002 and surpassing two-decade highs reached earlier this week.

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