Since the beginning of the Russian invasion, the great objective of Joe Biden and its Administration has been do not get into direct collision with the Kremlin. The specter of a nuclear war, so incited by Vladimir Putin and his related media, was about to become a reality in October 2022after the Russian disasters in Kharkiv and Kherson, but the strong position of American diplomacy did much to stop the autocrat’s criminal intentions. However, the fear remained. The United States has spent two years trying do not step on any of the red lines that Moscow was drawing up and arriving late to all the Ukrainian requirements.
It is impossible to know exactly what information US military intelligence has handled during this time and, therefore, it is difficult to draw conclusions, but the truth is that Biden has systematically dedicated himself to deny aid to Ukraine to end up giving it to him when it was too late for the initial objective. It happened with the Patriot, with the HIMARS, with the F16, with the ATACMS and now with the decision to allow its use on Russian soil to defend against the invader’s attacks and prevent the intervention of thousands of North Korean troops in the conflict.
No one disputes the justice of the decision. If Russia is the aggressor and also uses Chinese industry, Iranian drones and North Korean soldiers to mercilessly attack civilians on enemy soil, the legitimate thing would be that Ukraine could at least defend itself really with the weapons placed at their disposal. Until now, it’s been a constant “yes, but…” that has prevented Zelensky and General Syrskyi’s army from avoid a good part of these attacks hitting first the bases from which they were preparing.
In fact, no matter how much scandal Vladimir Putin and his propagandists are now making both inside and outside Russia, the US permission, which will be followed by that of other European powerslimited to military objectives and the purpose is to avoid repeating the massacres that occurred this Sunday throughout Ukraine. That said, if this decision was the right one and, apparently, the United States is not aware that it is going to trigger World War III, what?Why is it taken now and not when the kyiv Government requested it??
The Zelensky-Biden meeting
After the Democratic defeat on November 5 and two months before Donald Trump takes office and, presumably, limit aid to Ukraine To force a peace advantageous to the interests of his admired Putin, Biden has wanted to take a leading role that does not belong to him. His decision not only irritates Moscow, which is logical and does not surprise anyone, but bind your allies and it is not agreed upon with the next administration, which will have to see how it resolves the diplomatic conflict.
American voters, whether they like it in Europe or not, made the decision to support a candidate and a party that have gradually distanced themselves from aid to Ukraine in the last year. If Biden considered that this step was important to take, he would have done it earlier, when the situation on the front was more balanced and when North Korea had not yet deployed its troops. throughout the Kursk region. We are not talking about a lightning attack, precisely, but rather a maneuver that has been publicized for weeks.
Using North Korean intervention as an excuse is, therefore, absurd. Zelensky met with Joe Biden at the White House on September 26. By then, Kim Jong-un’s commitment to Putin’s military operation was already absolute. Despite this, The American president refused to comply with the request from his Ukrainian counterpart when all the leaks pointed to an affirmative answer. Zelensky left that meeting very hurt, where he explained one by one all the needs of his army and the specific objectives that he planned to bomb in Russian territory.
An almost irrelevant advantage
In short, Biden’s decision is nothing more than the latest sign of a erratic handling of the Ukrainian issue. The United States and, consequently, NATO, have helped just enough so that Russia does not wander around the neighboring country… but also does not lose the war and get angry. In Washington they did not view the attacks favorably at the time. to Russian electrical infrastructure nor the intention to reach Crimea, which was raised in the failed counteroffensive in the summer of 2023.
The reasons, apparently, They were military: It was not advisable to waste ammunition on distant targets, it was said in public. As time went by, it seems that the political intention to maintain manners with Putin was also present. All this would be the same if, at least, This change of position would definitively help Ukraine. It’s unlikely. The scope of the possible bombings will be limited and the Russian and North Korean troops are already prepared and in their barracks, ready to defend themselves if necessary. All surprise effects and all deterrence capacity have been lost. The situation on the front is worse than two months ago and there is no doubt that this will change.
Ucrania se ha instalado en una defensa a ultranza del Donbás sin maniobra para el contraataque. El avance ruso es lento, pero constante. Del sur al norte y del este al oeste. En otros dos meses, con toda seguridad, Trump revertirá el permiso y se creará una cierta confusión dentro de la propia OTAN: ¿Permitirá Starmer que Ucrania sí utilice los Storm Shadow si Trump desautoriza el uso de los ATACMS y los HIMARS? Putin estará más enfadado y también lo estará el nuevo presidente estadounidense.
Hay un pacto no escrito por el que una administración en retirada no puede tomar decisiones trascendentales que afecten a la administración futura. Menos aún, en casos donde la segunda se ha pronunciado con rotundidad. Tal vez, Biden haya pensado que si había un momento para provocar a Putin era justamente este, cuando a Moscú no le compensa entrar en represalias contundentes si intuye que el próximo presidente le va a ser más favorable. Ahora bien, eso es meterse en la mente de un dictador sangriento… y no solo es que eso sea peligroso, es que ya no es su trabajo.
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