Internal sources of the candidacy of Kamala Harris They pointed out this Friday that the Democratic candidate would be firmer than Joe Biden in supporting Ukraine. The Ukrainian government had better Volodymyr Zelensky.
Despite the persistent rumours of the last week, the meeting between the British Prime Minister, Keir Starmerand the American president ended on a bittersweet note: Biden continues to refuse to allow Ukraine to use its ATACMS medium- and long-range missiles over Russian territory… although he “authorizes” the United Kingdom and France to pursue their own policy with the Storm Shadows and the Scalps.
Strictly speaking, such permission is not necessary. France and the United Kingdom have long expressed their willingness to allow Ukraine to use such weapons as a complement to the Kursk offensive, provided that it was limited to military objectives. Last Wednesday, Zelensky even handed the US Secretary of State a letter in person. Antony Blinkena list of specific sites that Ukraine intends to bomb: air bases, military complexes and infrastructure related to the supply chain at the front. This is what Russia has been bombing in Ukraine for two and a half years.
It is understood that this same list will be the one authorized. Starmer and Macronor something very similar. The United States is not closing the door to a possible authorization later, but that only postpones a decision that will sooner or later be necessary. In this way, instead of angering Putin once and showing firmness in the face of his threats, What is being done is to prolong the diplomatic conflict unnecessarily.. When Biden finally gives his yes in a month, the threats and insults will return.
Eight British diplomats expelled
The Russian president, aware of the public opinion he could face if Ukraine started bombing Moscow or St. Petersburg and not just the Belgorod refineries or the Crimean bridges, has been tougher than ever in recent hours. Speaking on state television, Putin said that Ukraine was incapable of attacking Russian soil on its own, so that if such an attack were to take place it would have to be induced by the participation of NATO countries.
In such a case, Putin continued, Russia would consider the conflict to have taken on a different character and would regard such actions as equivalent to a declaration of war by the Atlantic Alliance. These words were accompanied by the expulsion of eight British diplomats, accused of espionage. As can be seen, The Kremlin has put all its cards on the table to influence the American decision… and unfortunately has achieved its goal.
For some time now, two opposing sensibilities have been at odds in the White House when it comes to dealing with the war in Ukraine. The wing headed by Jake Sullivanthe national defense adviser, chooses to tread extremely carefully: they believe in the Russian threat and insist that, as early as autumn 2022, Moscow was considering the use of tactical nuclear weapons on Ukrainian soil. The wing headed by Antony Blinken, as demonstrated by his recent visit to kyiv and Warsaw, calls for more boldness and insists that Putin is bluffing. Biden, for the moment, prefers caution.
Even the senator Mitch McConnellthe Republican minority leader in the House of Representatives, has privately insisted on the need to arm Ukraine and abandon this policy of delivery in installments. McConnell is a declared enemy of Donald Trump and represents the conservative Republican sensibility closest to a Reagan or a Bush and further away from the pro-Russian activist populism of the presidential candidate.
Kursk (Rusia)
Condenados a los términos medios
Sea como fuere, el caso es que el miedo a pisar líneas rojas por parte de Biden sigue siendo la base de su política exterior. Después de quedarse a medias en Afganistán, se está quedando a medias en la guerra de Gaza, incapaz de que Israel y Hamás lleguen de una vez al acuerdo que su administración lleva meses prometiendo… y lo mismo le está pasando en Ucrania. Por un lado, irrita a Rusia con la gradual concesión de HIMARS, Patriots, ATACMS, F16, etc. y por el otro intenta quedar bien con el Kremlin poniendo restricciones absurdas que sus propios aliados rechazan.
Da la sensación de que Biden está en medio de dos guerras en las que no quiere estar y, como no quiere estar, prefiere cerrar los ojos y hacer como si no existieran. Está con Israel, pero contra Netanyahu. Condena apasionadamente a Hamás, pero permite que Qatar y Turquía, dos de sus grandes aliados en la zona, financien a la banda terrorista en su intento de alejarla del régimen iraní.
Del mismo modo, no quiere que Ucrania pierda, pero tampoco está convencido de que le interese la victoria. Lo ideal, parece ser, es que ambos bandos se cansen y lleguen a sus propios acuerdos. Tanto en Gaza como en el Donbás. En resumen, pareciera que Estados Unidos renuncia a ejercer de imperio, base de la estabilidad y la prosperidad que ha vivido Occidente desde el final de la II Guerra Mundial. De consolidarse esa tendencia, las consecuencias podrían ser fatales. Siempre hay alguien que quiere ser califa en lugar del califa. Y que no se avergüenza de ello.
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