Lula’s advantage over Bolsonaro remains 100 days before the presidential elections

First modification: 06/24/2022 – 22:18

100 days before the presidential elections, the advantage of the former president of Brazil, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, over the current president, Jair Bolsonaro, remains. Electoral polls place him as the favorite in the presidential race on October 2. A turn to the left that continues, for now, firmly.

The polling firm ‘Datafolha’ indicates that Lula would obtain 47% of the votes compared to 28% for the far-right leader, which would allow the candidate of the Workers’ Party (PT), with an advantage of 19 percentage points, to win, even, in the first round, if the 7% of the blank and invalid votes indicated by the demographic signature and that the Electoral Justice does not take into account for the final calculation are excluded. In this sense, Lula would win in the first round with 53% of the votes against 32% for Bolsonaro.

The other candidates barely advanced: the newspaper ‘Folha de São Paulo’, in its version in Spanish, points out that in third place is the former state governor of the left “Ciro Gomes (PDT), with 8%. Another ten candidates are in the bunch from the bottom 2%. Among them is Senator Simone Tebet (MDB), the name around which the so-called third way was organized. She appears with the 1%”.

The poll, which has a margin of error of 2 points, reaffirms the strong polarization between Lula and Bolsonaro, since no other candidate comes close to the two main contenders.

‘Datafolha’ concludes that the advantage of former president Lula (2003-2010) remains practically stable and is two points less compared to the May poll, which then gave Lula 48% and Bolsonaro 27%. A figure that had no substantial changes between May and June.

Bolsonaro’s disapproval according to Datafolha

President Bolsonaro’s disapproval rate continues at close to 50% according to the polling firm. These figures were published this Friday in the newspaper ‘Folha de São Paulo’.

The survey indicates that rejection of the far-right leader’s management currently stands at 47% and that Bolsonaro remains the worst-evaluated head of state since the redemocratization of the country in 1985.

However, that disapproval rate is lower than the 53% that it reached in December of last year, when it marked the negative record since it took power on January 1, 2019. On the other hand, according to the firm, 26% of the Brazilians consider the management of the leader “regular”.

The issues that generate discontent towards Bolsonaro

In addition, 55% of voters say they would not vote “in any way” for Bolsonaro, who faces problems both in the political, economic and judicial landscape.

Inflation, which is close to 12%, reduces the purchasing power of Brazilians, and unemployment remains at 11%. The president has also received criticism for the continuous rise in fuel prices, for his renewed attacks on the electoral system and for the disappearance and murder of indigenous expert Bruno Pereira and British journalist Dom Phillips in a remote area of ​​the Amazon.

This tragedy crossed borders and reached the UN Human Rights Office, which denounced that the initial response of the South American country to find the whereabouts of Pereira and Phillips was “very slow” and that “there were even some derogatory comments” by from some authorities.

The prison, decreed last Wednesday, although revoked a day later, of former Minister of Education Milton Ribeiro for suspicions of corruption and bribery payments, was also negatively affected, as were two evangelical pastors close to Bolsonaro.

The poll was conducted between Wednesday and Thursday of this week based on face-to-face interviews with 2,556 voters in 181 cities in the country.

with EFE