What is Tropical Storm Roslyn’s track, where is it headed, and when does it make landfall?

( Spanish) — Tropical Storm Roslyn continues to move toward Mexico, and is expected to hit as a category 1 or 2 hurricane between Nayarit and Jalisco during Saturday night and early Sunday morning.

This Friday night, Roslyn was located 285 km south-southwest of Manzanillo (Colima) and 330 km south of Playa Pérula (Jalisco), reported the National Water Commission (Conagua).

According to him agency bulletin at 04:00 pm. local time, the storm was moving west-northwest at 11 km/h with sustained winds of 110 km/h and gusts of up to 140 km/h.

Prevention and surveillance zones for storm Roslyn

The rains in the regions of Colima, Guerrero and Michoacán are expected to be from 75 to 150 mm, and from 50 to 75 mm in Jalisco.

The rains “could generate landslides, an increase in the levels of rivers and streams, overflows and floods in low-lying areas of the aforementioned states,” warns Conagua.

Based on the forecasts, the following prevention and surveillance zones were established:

• Prevention zone for hurricane effects from Playa Pérula, Jalisco, to San Blas, Nayarit (including the Marías Islands).
• Surveillance zone for hurricane effects from the north of San Blas, Nayarit, to Mazatlán, Sinaloa.
• Prevention zone for tropical storm effects from the south of Playa Pérula, Jalisco, to Mazatlán, Sinaloa.

Roslyn’s trajectory: when will it make landfall in Mexico?

Saturday October 22: by Saturday at 01:00 am, Roslyn would already be a category 1 hurricane and would be located 275 km southwest of Manzanillo. By then, according to the forecast, it would register winds of between 140 and 165 km/h. Hours later, the storm would be 185 km southwest of Playa Pérula at 01:00 pm By then it would be a category 2 hurricane and winds could reach 195 km/h.

Sunday October 23: by 01:00 am, it is forecast to be 50 km west-southwest of Cabo Corrientes. At that time, Roslyn would have winds between 165 and 205 km/h. Twelve hours later, already on land, Roslyn would be downgraded to a tropical storm and would be located 75 km east-northeast of El Roblito.

Monday October 24: at the beginning of next week, Roslyn would already be a remnant low pressure on land, with winds between 45 and 65 km/h. Around 01:00 am on Monday, it would be located 450 km northeast of Escuinapa.

editor’s note: This article has been updated with recent information.