The Ukrainian army does not expect the reservists mobilized at the end of September by Russian President Vladimir Putin, arrive on the battlefield “in two or three months“. This was stated by the Minister of Defense of Ukraine, Oleksii Reznikovon one of the Government channels on Telegram.
“The Russian Federation will send the first 150,000 Russians called up to replenish the units that suffered losses,” he explained in the statement. A figure that does not coincide with the 200,000 new recruits who, according to Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, have been training with the Armed Forces for at least three days.
If the number dances, it is, in part, because the Ukrainian forces believe that Moscow does not have enough resources to equip all his soldiers. Especially if one takes into account that in the recent massive withdrawal of troops from the Kharkov and Kherson regions, the Russians have abandoned a large number of tanks and military equipment, as indicated by the British intelligence services in their part daily war.
“To send them to the front they must be armed, clothed and fed, and in Russia they have problems with this,” Reznikov said. And that, together with the inexperience of the recruits -“who they are not prepared at all“- makes kyiv think that the military training phase will not end soon. And once it does, it will probably take a while for the Russian authorities to decide how to configure the new battalions.
From the Kremlin they have not specified when they will send the reservists to the front. However, if the period advanced by Ukrainian officials is fulfilled, kyiv could proclaim sooner rather than later overall victory.
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In fact, military analysts consulted by The Times They maintain that if kyiv persists in its progress, it could expel Russian forces from the Donbas region by the end of the year. Recovering Crimea, on the other hand, would be a greater challenge, clarifies the British newspaper in the article.
However, for this to happen, Zelensky’s troops should, at the very least, be able to maintain the pace used during the successful Kharkov and Kherson counter-offensive that has allowed them to recover more than 5,000 square kilometers in just a few days.
The Ukrainians, however, know that time is short and they are not satisfied with the minimum, so they have decided to speed up their attack before the new enemy soldiers arrive… and the cold.
Snow and low temperatures make mobility difficult and pose a problem for guaranteeing supply in the supply lines. Some technical complications would give the Russians time to regroup and launch their counteroffensive. And that is precisely what they plan to do.
He confessed this Wednesday Kirill Stremousov, the highest pro-Russian authority in the province of Kherson, from where Russian forces have withdrawn in recent days. “The troops are carrying out a regrouping to reinforce themselves and have the ability to counterattack,” he told the Russian news agency. ESTUARY.
Some argue that the “regrouping” formula is a way of masking the withdrawal of hundreds of thousands of soldiers who, desperate, abandoned strategic enclaves in the northeast of the country such as Limán (in the Kharkov region), leaving behind ammunition, vehicles and military equipment.
However, on the southern front, along the Dnieper River, Moscow’s troops seem to be falling back from a more orderly wayas he assures Washington Post citing Ukrainian sources on the ground. They strategically withdraw, taking all the equipment with them and attempting to build new defense lines near the regional capital of Kherson, captured by Russian forces at the start of the invasion.
Thus, it is to be expected that theregrouping” and the Russian “counterattack” are carried out in the southern city of Kherson. That is, if the Ukrainian advance does not catch them first.