The publication of daily tracking in various media continues two weeks before the elections. This Sunday, all the polls highlight the fight between Vox and Sumar for third place, one of the most decisive battles on July 23.
According to 40dB survey for the Country and the SER Vox loses one seat compared to the previous day, until it stands at 41 and Sumar, for its part, would gain a deputy and stand at 37. Santiago Abascal’s far-right party is more than one point ahead of Yolanda Díaz’s platform. Although it is somewhat less distance than in recent days.
The Two Sigma survey for El Mundo it also gives Vox third place, but with tight competition. Those of Abascal would achieve between 34 and 37 seats in Congress (one less than this Saturday in the minimum fork). They are 15 points below the result he achieved in 2019. Sumar remains at the same percentage as this Saturday, with 12.5% of the votes and standing between 30 and 33 deputies.
According to GAD3 for ABC Santiago Abascal’s formation is the third force with 29 seats, while Sumar would obtain 26 deputies, the same figures as this Saturday.
PP and PSOE, awaiting the debate between Sánchez and Feijóo this Monday
The three polls keep the PP in the lead, although not all grant the majority that is needed to govern the bloc on the right. In any case, in the scenario of a victory to the right, Feijóo finds it difficult to govern alone.
According to 40dB, the PP and the PSOE, one day before the only electoral debate between Pedro Sánchez and Alberto Núñez Feijóo, would remain unchanged compared to this Saturday: the popular ones obtain 128 seats and the socialists 113. Leave the absolute majority up in the air, since the sum of the right and the extreme right would not be enough to form a government (it would remain at 169 compared to the 176 that are needed). The bloc that would form the PSOE and Sumar reaches 154 seats.
Sigma Dos also keeps the data for both parties stable. Although, this yes, it gives an absolute majority to the sum of the PP, Vox and UPN, which would reach up to 185 seats. Those of Feijóo would remain between 144 and 147 deputies. The PSOE would remain between 105 and 108.
GAD3 for ABC it also shows an unalterable PP and PSOE, in 150 and 115 seats respectively, the same as this Saturday. The Sum of the right-wing block, according to this tracking, remains between 176 and 183 seats, enough to form a government.
The ABC survey also makes this Sunday a breakdown of seats by provinces and, according to its data, the popular ones will be the force with the most votes in 43 constituencies and the PSOE would only be the first force in five of them: Barcelona, Tarragona, Álava and Las Palmas from Gran Canaria.
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